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First Storm of Season on Tap for Monday and Tuesday; Seasonal Outlook

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The rainy season does not start for 3 weeks. However, we have storm coming to Tahoe for Monday and Tuesday. Here is the forecast for early Tuesday morning: Of course this will be a warmer storm, but expect snow above 9,000 feet and in some areas along the Sierra Crest that snow will be heavy. Our temperatures will quickly recover and much of that snow will end up melting because the sun is still very strong this time of year. Most of the leeward valleys will be shadowed out so do not expect any heavy rain in Reno or Carson. We are not seeing any major weather events for the next several weeks after this storm. Seasonal Outlook What will this winter bring? Of course trying to predict this is always crap shoot. We live in Nevada so why not? Surprisingly our predictions have been within 5% the last 6 years (look it up!). The first thing we look at is the El Nino Southern Oscillation or ENSO. Right now we are in a neutral ENSO. However, that will most likely transition to La Nina starting ...
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One Final Storm

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Storms this time of year are usually weak. We have one more storm knocking on the door for the final weekend at Mt. Rose. This storm is not strong, and could produce up to a foot of snow, but most likely in the 6 inch range. It should get rolling very early tomorrow (4/26) and snow on and off for about 24 hours. I do not see any really heavy periods of snow, but this storm could deliver a surprise. Here is the forecast for late tomorrow night. You can clearly see there is not much to this storm. One thing it will bring is much cooler air. Ironically all around the storm is very warm air which makes forecasting a bit tricky. We would be remiss not to say that this storm will move our season snowfall to slightly above average. That is exactly what we expected and forecast back in early November. In all likelihood this will be our final post of the season. Take care!
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Stormy Weather to Continue Through Monday

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The two storms that we talked about in our last post have literally joined forces and we have seen a decent snow event for quite a few days. This is not done. Monday should bring a very snowy day. Tomorrow (3/16) will bring light snow to begin with and very strong winds and then heavier snow late in the evening. Here is a look at the forecast for Monday early morning: More snow heading our way. This will be all snow for Mt. Rose as a cold front moves down from the Pacific NW. We are currently not seeing any more major events through the end of March. However, this next storm should bring 1-3 feet of additional snow for Mt. Rose. Here is the precipitation forecast through Tuesday: Stay Tuned ...
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Prepare for a Stormy Week

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We have a couple of storms that will come through this week that should produce quite a bit of snow for the Sierra. The first storm will come through very cold Wednesday morning and stick around for about 24 hours. There will be a period of very heavy snow for the Sierra and Carson Range. We will get a short reprieve from Thursday afternoon through most of Friday, then a larger storm moves in. This will be a warmer storm, but will bring all snow to the Carson Range. Some of the lower elevations of the Sierra could see some rain with this one. Here is the forecast for very late on Saturday night (3/15): The forecasted snow totals for these two storms are pretty impressive. This additional snow will move our season total to above average. Stay Tuned ...
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Larger Storm for Next Week

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The current storm has certainly over performed and will continue to do so with possible snow in the valley tonight (3/5).  However, that is not the storm we are watching. Next week could usher in a much bigger storm with a decent moisture tap. The fun should get going late on the 10th and last through the 12th. The 12th should bring heavy snow to the Carson range for quite a few hours: This storm will be on the colder side and should all snow to most Tahoe resorts. We are thinking about 30 hours of snow, with 12 hours of heavy snow before this storm moves on. After that, our temps will remain below seasonal averages. Then around the 17th of March we could be looking at another decent storm. This storm is also on the colder side and should be bring mostly snow to Tahoe resorts. The ECMWF is predicting pretty good snow amounts. We are thinking 2-4 feet by the 20th of this month. Stay Tuned ...
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Weather to Become Unstable in March

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After a fantastic first 3 weeks of February, we have enjoyed some beautiful weather. That is going to change, however. We have a storm coming in for late Saturday and Sunday. This is not some giant storm, but it will bring some snow to the Carson Range, in the neighborhood of 2-6 inches. This will also bring in much cooler air. Then on Wednesday (3/5) we have another small system coming in with a reenforcing cold front: ' After this system, high pressure and warm, spring like air will move in for the next 5 days. Then around the 11th of March we could be looking at a major pattern change: Our most reliable model is predicting another one of those atmospheric river type systems.  Here is the precip forecast for the next 2 weeks. Most of this comes in during the 2nd week: When it is dry, we go storm hunting. The 11th is still quite a ways off, but something to possibly look forward to. Finally, we wanted to say goodbye to a true Northern Nevada landmark. Lone Eagle Grille, albeit ver...
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Minor Storm for Wednesday, Then Warm Until March

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 We have a very minor storm that will just graze us tomorrow. Possibly 2-6 inches for Mt. Rose: High Pressure will setup off the California coast and push everything north. Behind all that is some very warm air for Tahoe and especially the Nevada leeward valleys of Reno and Carson. We could be looking at near 70 degrees by the weekend into next week! No major storms in sight for now! Stay Tuned ...
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