Tahoe Weather Blog

The current storm has certainly over performed and will continue to do so with possible snow in the valley tonight (3/5).  However, that is not the storm we are watching. Next week could usher in a much bigger storm with a decent moisture tap. The fun should get going late on the 10th and last through the 12th. The 12th should bring heavy snow to the Carson range for quite a few hours: This storm will be on the colder side and should all snow to most Tahoe resorts. We are thinking about 30 hours of snow, with 12 hours of heavy snow before this storm moves on. After that, our temps will remain below seasonal averages. Then around the 17th of March we could be looking at another decent storm. This storm is also on the colder side and should be bring mostly snow to Tahoe resorts. The ECMWF is predicting pretty good snow amounts. We are thinking 2-4 feet by the 20th of this month. Stay Tuned ...

After a fantastic first 3 weeks of February, we have enjoyed some beautiful weather. That is going to change, however. We have a storm coming in for late Saturday and Sunday. This is not some giant storm, but it will bring some snow to the Carson Range, in the neighborhood of 2-6 inches. This will also bring in much cooler air. Then on Wednesday (3/5) we have another small system coming in with a reenforcing cold front: ' After this system, high pressure and warm, spring like air will move in for the next 5 days. Then around the 11th of March we could be looking at a major pattern change: Our most reliable model is predicting another one of those atmospheric river type systems.  Here is the precip forecast for the next 2 weeks. Most of this comes in during the 2nd week: When it is dry, we go storm hunting. The 11th is still quite a ways off, but something to possibly look forward to. Finally, we wanted to say goodbye to a true Northern Nevada landmark. Lone Eagle Grille, albeit ver...

 We have a very minor storm that will just graze us tomorrow. Possibly 2-6 inches for Mt. Rose: High Pressure will setup off the California coast and push everything north. Behind all that is some very warm air for Tahoe and especially the Nevada leeward valleys of Reno and Carson. We could be looking at near 70 degrees by the weekend into next week! No major storms in sight for now! Stay Tuned ...

A cold and impressive system is poised to hit Thursday (2/13). The system has plenty of moisture and will bring snow to the mountains and leeward valleys. Here is the forecast for all day Thursday: Here is what we are looking at for total moisture: We are looking at 1-3 feet of snow for Mt. Rose. There is certainly a potential for more, but the models have over predicted all year and we adjusted our snow amounts down. The following week will bring a big warm up and we are not seeing any significant precipitation for at least the following 10 days after Thursday. Stay Tuned ...

One last wave is heading our way, which will be the end of this storm cycle. Yes, it underachieved, but by the time all is said and done, Mt. Rose will have picked up nearly 5 feet of fresh snow, which should allow them to open the remaining terrain, including the world famous Chutes. Here is the forecast for late this afternoon (2/6). Again all snow for Mt. Rose. After Friday (2/7) we will see a dry period that will last until late next week. Right now the GFS is predicting this for Thursday (2/13) After this next storm, expect cooler temperatures. Stay Tuned ...

Part 1 of our first big storm of the season is over. Part 2 starts tonight. The first part of this storm has been somewhat disappointing in light of what the models were predicting. Shows how little we know and how mother nature is the one in charge and she can do whatever she wants. We are hoping that Part 2 overachieves. Here is the timing: Early Tomorrow Morning (2/4) Late Tomorrow Night (2/4) Thursday Afternoon (2/6)  Here is the Precipitation forecast for the final act of this storm, we are thinking in the neighborhood of 2-3 additional feet of snow for Slide Mountain. Part 2 is cooler than part one which means all snow. Stay Tuned ...

As the weather models converge, we are looking at a major weather event. Three storms will eventually have a party right over the Tahoe area. They will bring hurricane force winds and heavy precipitation. The party starts tomorrow night (Thursday 1/30). First, let's take a look at the GFS weather model's precipitation forecast for the next 9 days: If you zoom in on that image, you will see some brown specs around the Western Sierra Crest. That represents somewhere between 25 and 35 inches of liquid precipitation. Above 8,000 feet, on the Crest, over the next week or so, the Sierra could see 30 feet of snow.  You can see there is major spillover too. The Carson Range will see between 10 and 20 feet of snow. The Mt. Rose Chutes could be open (if the storms let up a little) by this time next week. Here is some timing. The major stuff starts on Friday afternoon. Read our previous post about snow levels. We are looking at near constant precipitation through the following Tuesday (2/...