Tahoe Weather Blog

Happy St. Patrick's Day! We are tracking one more storm. This storm has stalled somewhat and will come in on the 18th and last on and off through the 20th. However, the Carson Range could be shadowed from a good portion of this event. One thing that won't be shadowed is the cooler air that will come in behind this storm. Here is a look at the forecast for Friday the 19th: The leading edge of this storm will creep in tomorrow (March 18th) and last into Saturday. We are thinking about a foot of snow for the Western Sierra Crest and 2-3 inches for Mt. Rose. It will take a few days for temperatures to recover, but it looks like this is the last storm for a while as high pressure sets up off the west coast. Conditions are excellent at all Tahoe Resorts so get out and enjoy the coming beautiful weather! Still La Nina, but not For Long We are still in a weak La Nina pattern, but it is winding down and we will move to a neutral ENSO by late spring. What does that mean? Not much for our

 As the current storm winds down it will produce just over a foot of snow in total for the Carson Range and Mt. Rose in particular, which was about what we expected. This pattern of storms every 3-5 days with warming temperatures ahead of the storms will continue into the foreseeable future. These storms are dropping out of the north so the snow levels remain low for this time of year. We will warm in the next several days ahead of our next storm which is on tap for very early on Monday morning (March 15): This is again a pretty fast moving and cooler storm that should bring all snow to all Tahoe resorts. There appears to be only a minor shadowing effect so we expect Mt. Rose to pick up an additional 4-8 inches of snow from this storm. As has been the pattern, temps will warm ahead of the next storm. Unfortunately, it is very difficult to look more than a 5-7 days out with any certainty. Having said that, we are tracking a fantasy storm that could come in about 2 weeks, that storm has

 Today (March 4th) will be our last glimpse of spring for quite some time as we enter a very active weather pattern starting tomorrow and lasting at least the next 2 weeks. Although we do not see any giant Sierra storms, we see at least a half dozen smaller storms that will bring in much cooler air and some snow. Here is the synopsis:  Early Saturday Morning (March 6th) - This is a weaker storm but will bring 6 inches or so to Mt. Rose by Saturday Afternoon. It will also bring much cooler air. Late Monday (March 8th)  - This is a little stronger storm that will bring in several waves of snow and cold air. It should produce an additional foot of snow. The next chart is the same storm as it approaches Tahoe. Early Wednesday (March 10th) After this storm moves through we will still have several waves of light precip and cold air. Late Saturday (March 13th) The precip comes back, albeit on the light side. March 17th - We could be looking at a moderate St. Patrick's day storm.  Here is

  A picture is worth a thousand words, high pressure is in complete control of our weather. This will continue into the first week of March.  That first week of March should usher in a pattern change as we are tracking several storms for late in the first week of March, including this one which is forecast for the 5th of March: We will keep an eye on this developing pattern change and report accordingly. Stay Tuned ...

Our weather pattern remains active but we are not seeing any big storms in the near future. We are tracking two fast moving, weak storms that are on tap for Monday and Thursday of next week. Combined, these storm may produce 6-12 inches of snow for Mt. Rose. They will be on the colder side and temperatures will remain around average and at times below average over the next several days. Here is the forecast for Monday at 10:00am: This storm will probably be mostly shadowed out for the Carson Range but we could see a few inches of snow for Mt. Rose on Monday morning. Then later in the week, around Thursday a better storm comes in. Currently this storm is forecast to rapidly move through our area. We believe it could leave 6 inches on the Tahoe slopes. Not much more to talk about as these short waves continue to come into the area keeping our pattern very active, however conditions are not yet ripe for a big one. Stay Tuned ...

 We are tracking 4 storms starting late next Thursday, February 11th. Between now and then, expect above average temperatures. Then everything changes. The weather models are mostly in agreement about this next storm series so despite it still being 5+ days out, we are very confident. Here is a look at the forecast for Thursday @ 10pm: Notice the complete lack of our persistent high pressure ridge. Next storm comes in late Saturday, February 13th. This one has some tremendous potential: Next storm comes in the following Monday (February 15th), about midday. Notice the moisture tail showing a true Pineapple Express event: The next storm is forecast to come in very late on the 17th of February: This next storm series should produce near consistent snowfall for over a week. Right now snow elevations look to be above 6,000 feet, but as we near these storms we will get a better idea. My gut tells me they will be higher with the sub-tropical moisture that all these storms are tapping into. W

 We have a small system coming through on Tuesday. That will be the last storm in the current storm cycle. After Tuesday look for above average temperatures for at least the next 7-10 days. Here is a look at the forecast for Tuesday around 10:00am: Notice the massive ridge of high pressure out in the Pacific. That ridge will begin to dominate our weather for at least a week and probably more. This last storm will bring 4-8 inches to the Carson Range and other Tahoe resorts. Stay Tuned ...