First Winter Storm Not Until December?

We are experiencing and will continue to experience a very slow start to winter. Average to above average temperatures should be in place, for the most part, for at least the next couple of weeks. We see little to no precipitation during that time. In fact, we see no significant precipitation until the beginning of December.

Of course forecasting that far out can be very unreliable, but see our last post. As the models gather more data and the algorithms to analyze that data become smarter, long term forecasting becomes more accurate.

Here is a look at the precip forecast between now and the 2nd of December:

This is showing that during the next 3 weeks, Tahoe will pick up a total of less than 1 inch of liquid precip. However, around the 2nd of December we are seeing signs that a storm could move in. Here is a look at the precip total between December 2nd and December 6th:

Again, forecasting storms this far out can be very unreliable, so take this with a grain of salt. This could easily change. As we say often here at TWB, Ma Nature is in charge.

Stay Tuned ...