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Showing posts from September, 2011

Near Perfect Weather To Slowly Phase Out Ahead of Stormy Pattern

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Hard to complain about our weather since the snows stopped in the middle of June. Since that time it has been near perfect with warm sunny days and cool nights. That pattern will not stay constant. Instead we have a series of disturbances headed our way for early next week. As I talked about in my last post, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hilery is going to mix with a trough and prime the atmosphere with moisture. That moisture will be pulled north by a couple of low pressure systems. This pattern that I see developing looks very similar to what we witnessed last March. Large storms to our north, cut off a chunk of their energy and send it down the coast our way. Next Wednesday is looking very interesting with what appears to be a decent precipitation event headed for the Northern Sierra. Take a look:


Again, GFS has this storm coming our way on or about Wednesday October 5th. This will bring snow only to the highest elevations > 10,000 feet, as it will be accompanied by warm air. I…

Cooler This Weekend, Nice Next Week

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Ok, about time I got back into this thing. I know under my roof everybody is looking forward to winter. This weekend will see a weak low pressure system to our north sneak some cool and windy air into our region. However next week is looking beautiful.

There have been some changes over the last few months, highlighted by the emergence of La Nina (Yes, she is back) in the Equatorial Pacific. That has caused a number of long range forecasters to predict an early start to winter, in some cases very early.

Currently, I am tracking a tropical storm down off the southern coast of Baja. Hilery is packing some moisture and moving north and this could coincide with a weak trough dropping out of the Gulf of Alaska. This could be our first major weather event and it looks like October 1 and 2 is when the party gets started. The mountains should see some snow in the upper elevations above 10,000 feet. Here is a look at the 2nd of October:



Ok, the models are all over the place. La Nina returned in…