First of all Happy Holidays to all! Thank you for the very nice comments on the mountain!
Now back to business; A well advertised storm will be moving in tomorrow night. The squeeze is on again as blocking ridges of high pressure will force that storm down through our area. Unlike the last storm, the exit door is wide open so we will not get 4 days of heavy snowfall. Here is a look at how things will shape up tomorrow.
I actually talked about this one in the beginning of the month. In my last post I mentioned that this storm will have a more profound affect south of Lake Tahoe. That is still the case. However, I do expect a foot of snow for the Northern Tahoe Sierra and Carson range by Wednesday night.
I do not see any major precipitation events after this next storm for 2-3 weeks. We are going to dry out. We may have a weak storm come into the area New Years day, but the models are picking up on a long dry period.
That is the bad news, the good news is that around the 17th of January, the models see conditions ripening for a very large series of storms, perhaps similar to what we just went through. Here is a total precip count between 1/15/2013 and 1/21/2013. Most of the precip appears to be headed our way around the 19th, 20th and 21st.
As you can see the long term model brings 10+ inches of liquid precip to our area during this time period.
Now the qualifiers: This site is dedicated to long term weather predictions. That is what we are getting. The EC model picks up on conditions that are "ripe" for stormy activity. It is basically making an educated guess. I must admit, the long term predictors that I have published this year have been pretty amazing. However this is not carved in stone yet.
One thing you can count on is that I will keep an eye out and report accordingly. Get up and enjoy the perfect conditions!
Stay Tuned ...