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Showing posts from November, 2024

One Last Storm Before Dry Conditions and Warming Trend

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This has been quite the weather smorgasbord. We had 3 troughs of low pressure a blocking ridge of high pressure and a dance in the Pacific off the West Coast of the US with all these weather systems. I give the models some credit, they pegged it pretty well. We are now looking at what could be one more decent storm before a much drier and much warmer weather trend. Here is the forecast for early Tuesday morning. This storm has a great moisture tap and will come in warm as is usually the case when we have the potential for major precipitation. All models are pointing to a major snow storm for Mammoth. We are uncertain on the amount of snow we will see up in Tahoe. Right now it looks like about 1-2 feet on the crest and 6-8 inches for Slide Mountain. Ironically, the storm earlier in the week pounded areas north of Lake Tahoe, while this storm will pound areas south of Lake Tahoe. Of course Mother Nature is in charge and a slight shift north would bring much more snow. The Carson Range ha...

Heavy Snow For the Carson Range Expected Through Saturday

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A massive storm, that we talked about last post is slamming Northern California. Despite the strength of this storm, much of the Carson Range has been shadowed out. That is about to change. The last big wave will be sliding south and will produce heavy snow above 7,500 and will cross over the Sierra and Lake Tahoe and should bring about 3-5 feet of snow to Slide Mountain by late Saturday night. The heaviest snow will last from about 7pm tomorrow through the early morning hours Saturday. We will get a short break before this same storm gathers and brings a lighter wave of precip to most of the Sierra from late Sunday through all of Monday. We could pick up an additional foot in the Carson Range, however we will be shadowed out again from the really big stuff. Thanksgiving now looks dry so the pattern will change back to a blocking ridge of high pressure. These next few storms need to produce some heavy amounts of snow if we want superior skiing and riding after Thanksgiving. The dry pat...

Wednesday Will Usher in Pattern Change

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We are about to enter a stormy pattern that looks like it will last for the next couple of weeks. Here is the forecast for Wednesday early morning (11/20), notice the two ridges of high pressure to the east and south. That will allow this storm to stall: Next wave is forecast to come in on Saturday morning: Another wave is scheduled for Sunday night: We could be looking at storms through the Thanksgiving weekend. The models are in alignment through Saturday. We will keep an eye out for a possible major storm for Thanksgiving. Right now we are looking at about 3-5 feet in the next few weeks.  These storms are on the warm side. We are confident this will be all snow, however, for Mt. Rose. High base matters! Stay Tuned ...

Storm For Monday and Seasonal Outlook

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First things first, there is a storm that will come in and deliver around 6 inches of snow to Slide Mountain on Monday afternoon. We will take all we can get! Mt. Rose high base will come in handy as this storm will begin on the warm side. I am not seeing any large storms after that for a few weeks. Luckily I have a crystal ball that can look quite a ways into the future. What I am seeing is a pattern change. Currently, we have our persistent ridge of high pressure that is blocking storms from making it down this far south. The pattern could change around Thanksgiving as the ridge breaks down and a series of storms could enter our area. Here is a look at the forecast for Thanksgiving day. Winter Outlook As we look toward the upcoming winter, what are we seeing? We have been pretty lucky with our winter forecasts the last several years. Disclaimer: Ma Nature is in charge! For starters we are going to see a moderate to strong La Nina. What does that mean? In short it means the surface te...