Search This Blog

Friday, February 3, 2017

Several More Storms are Stacked up and Heading Our Way

Here is a look at the current conditions in the Northern Pacific:


The current storm should continue to pound us off and on through the night and then to a lesser degree tomorrow and tomorrow night. The Next storm can be seen on the picture above. It will follow a nearly identical path and bring more moisture to the area. Then, on the heels of that storm, another storm will gain strength and follow the nearly identical path.

There is copious amounts of moisture in the sub-tropical Pacific for these storms to tap into. I see snow elevations moving down slightly but staying between 5,500 and 7,500 feet. Here is the forecast timing of these events:

Early Monday Morning (3:00am)

This is the beginning of the second storm of the three we talked about earlier. This will last throughout the day on Monday. We will get a very short break around 2:00am Tuesday morning until about noon on Tuesday, then the same storm will send us a huge wave of moisture.

4:00 Tuesday Afternoon

Here, you can clearly see a moderate AR (atmospheric river) event. The Atmospheric River is the new term for the Pineapple Express. Call me old school, but I still like the Pineapple Express. This wave is going to pound us hard for about 36 hours.

Then, almost right on its heels, the next storm comes in:

Thursday Evening (2/9)

Although this storm is not as strong as its predecessor, it will still bring moderate to heavy moisture to Sierra and Carson Range for about 24 hours.

A slight break, may then be in order, but I am already seeing signs of a 4th storm joining the party.

Here is the total moisture forecast for the entire 3 storms:


Folks, no other way to put this, but we are talking about a major weather event that will bring as much as 15-20 inches of liquid precip to the Sierra Crest and as much as 10-12 inches to the Carson Range. We are seeing an additional 5-12 feet of snow for Mt. Rose. On the other side of the lake, snowfall amounts will vary as these storms will start cold, become warm, then turn cold again with snow levels between 5,500 and 7,000 feet.

Stay Tuned ...


No comments:

Post a Comment