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Thursday, November 5, 2015

Next Storm Will Be Here in 84 Hours, Weak for the Carson Range

That headline says it all. The next storm is due to show up in Tahoe in about 84 hours or 3.5 days. Around Sunday at 4, the storm should arrive. Here is a look at the EC weather forecast for Sunday at 4:00pst:


The models are in nearly complete agreement about this storm. Unfortunately for us on the Carson side of the Sierra, the bulk of this storm will not make it to us, so this will be a fairly minor event. I am thinking at most 6-12 inches for the Carson Range, probably though in the 3-5 inch range. The western crest, north of the Lake Tahoe could be looking at as much as 2 feet. Here is the precip total forecast:


This storm does not have near the moisture plume to work with as the last storm. However, that should keep the snow levels much lower. The last storm stayed at 10,000 feet for the first half of the event or we would have seen much more snow, especially in the Carson range.

Looking a bit further down the line, this is the only event forecast for at least the next 10 days. The models have backed off on the 30-day forecast as well. Let's hope they're wrong.

I am still not seeing any El Nino influenced weather patterns.

Stay Tuned ...

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