Pattern Change Coming in Early February

After an extremely dry January, February is showing some promise.

First a cold front for this weekend. We expect very light snow and much cooler temperatures. Mt. Rose could see up to 3 inches of very light powder. This storm will be gone by Sunday. Temperatures will quickly rebound.

Then around the first, another polar plunge will descend on the country. This time we will get a little bigger piece. When that cold air hits the warm air, we could see some weather. The GFS is predicting a pattern change, while the EC is predicting just another cold storm like this weekend. However, the storm for the first of February has some moisture to work with, so we will keep an eye on it.

The GFS weather model is predicting heavy Sierra snow for the entire first week of Feburary:

Both models that we primarily use are predicting sustained cold for at least that first week in February.

This is still developing and at least there is a chance to break out of this dry spell. Having said that, this is not a big La Nina storm.

Stay Tuned ...