La Nina is Quickly Dying

The dissipation of cooler waters along the Equatorial Pacific (La Nina) is happening quicker than expected. As we move into a neutral ENSO, look for a change in the pattern. Possibly around the last week in February, hopefully sooner.

This particular La Nina delivered only a single impressive storm cycle, and thank goodness it did! So waving goodbye to La Nina is cause for celebration. A neutral ENSO should allow the storm machine to start cranking and knock our persistent ridge of high pressure out of its current position off the West Coast of the USA.

We are starting to see what could amount to a change in the pattern, although currently we are not seeing any major storms for the next 2 weeks at least. Here is a look at the forecast for 9th of February. A cold front drops down but has no moisture tap.

Then around the 14th we are seeing the Ridge get shoved West, which could open the storm door for Tahoe, finally!

Again, not seeing any major storms but what we are seeing is the possible beginning of a pattern change.

The long range ECMWF is talking about a pattern change around the beginning of March.

I wish I had more for you.

Stay Tuned ...