Take a look. The first picture is our current conditions. Notice how far west and south the ridge of high pressure is. With no blocking, the storms can move straight down the coast. There is nothing to force them inland over our area.
That is about to change. That change should bring on a rather stormy week and possibly stormy next weekend as conditions begin to ripen for our area again. First, take a look at the chart for Tuesday. Notice the ridge of high pressure has moved off the So. Cal coast. That is going to force the storms to move inland, right over our area. In addition there does appear to be an adequate moisture tap for a decent event coming on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning:
|Tuesday's Chart - Notice Blocking Ridge to South|
|Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning|
|Friday March 30th|
Again blocking ridge to the south and adequate moisture. Right now with Tuesday's storm, we are looking at all snow for all Tahoe Ski Areas. However, there could be another shadowing factor for the Carson Range, we will have to see.
How much moisture? That is a very good question. Right now the moisture forecast does not appear to be in line with the storm forecast. We are looking at 2-3 inches through next weekend (liquid precip) for the Carson Range and 5-10 inches of liquid precip for the Western Crest. However, I think that will change.
Of course none of this has happened yet. Spring is a notoriously difficult time to forecast weather. However conditions appear to be near perfect for a series of storms. I will keep a close eye on this and report accordingly.
Stay Tuned ...