Storms Update

The storm for Wednesday/Thursday has picked up strength and has a very adequate moisture tap. The storm for Saturday is now just a small short wave off the main storm system and will miss us to the south, the storm for next week is looking warm and moist as well.

In a nutshell, the storm machine is beginning to crank. We have a very warm and wet storm with a sub tropical moisture tap set to hit Tahoe head on. That will show up late on Wednesday and not clear out until late Friday. Here is a look at the forecast for very early Thursday morning:

As this storm pulls moisture up from the south, it will also be pulling very warm air up. I was hoping for a cooler system but that is not going to happen. It now looks like this will start as heavy rain up to about 9,000 feet. As the cold front passes through, snow levels will drop rapidly but I fear the bulk of the precip will have already fallen. There is a chance that snow levels could hover around 8,000, but right now this storm is trending warmer. That means the bulk of this storm will be rain for most Tahoe resorts. Mt. Rose could be the exception, but my best guess is that this storm comes in as rain for half the mountain. Snow totals could be anywhere from 1-5 feet depending on elevation, with 5+ feet for the high Sierra and Carson Range above 9,500 feet.

Right now the next system is still a ways out. Here is a look at the forecast for the day before Thanksgiving:

This too looks like a very warm storm. We will fine tune the forecast as the storm approaches. But it is 9 days out right now and lots can change.

Here is a look at the 10-day precip forecast:

Stay Tuned ...